This page is inspired by PlanB's Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model, to create the model for Chia® coin

Chia® stock to flow model live chart

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1095

876

657

438

219

0

Days until next halving
Current S/F
Current Price
Current Supply
19/03/2024
Next Halving

What is Chia®?

Chia® is a new blockchain which uses less electricity than Bitcoin and Ethereum. This blockchain model is built on the consensus of "proof of space and time", which was created by Bram Cohen, the inventor of Bittorrent. Chia® was built using its own programming language called Chialisp.

Use Cases for Chia®

  • Defi (Decentralised Finance)
  • CATS (Asset tokens)
  • Rate limited wallets
  • Custody wallets
  • Smart contracts
  • AMM (Automated Market Maker, for example Uniswap)
  • DID (Decentralised Identities)

Halvings

Similar to Bitcoin, Chia® farming rewards also utilize Halvings. Chia®'s halvings will occur at the conclusion of each three-year period for the first twelve years. From the thirteenth year, block rewards will remain constant at 576 xch per day.

Halving DatesBlocks per dayChia per day
19/03/2021 - 19/03/202446089216
19/03/2024 - 19/03/202746084608
19/03/2027 - 19/03/203046082304
19/03/2030 - 19/03/203346081152
19/03/2033 - infinity4608576
Total supply by the end of each halving cycle
Halving cyclesSupply in xch
110,091,520
215,137,280
317,660,160
418,921,600

Stock to Flow Formula

Using the formula explained in this article mathematical model , we can derive the formula for Chia®'s stock to flow model.
ln = natural logarithm exp = ln( market value / ( SF ratio ^ 3.3 ) )
This will give us the exponent, which e (Euler's number) will be raised to the power of. Which is what we need to use to calculate the model price based on the stock to flow model.
The stock to flow ratio is calculating by taking the current market supply and dividing that number against the supply of the asset that gets generated per year. stock to flow ratio = current market supply / supplyPerYear
Once we have the math components needed we can then use it to calculate the stock to flow price: Model Price(in USD) = exp(e) * SF ratio ^ 3.36
It's important to note that we do not have enough price data yet to get a more accurate stock to flow formula to use, we need at least a years worth of price data in order to do so.

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CHIA® is a registered trademark of Chia Network, Inc. in the United States and worldwide.